King's Road Dandy
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 65
Ripon · Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div 1) · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Pontefract | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-06 | Pontefract | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |