Angel Summer
3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 54
Ripon · Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kempton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Doncaster | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 03/07/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |