
Cheerleader
4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 52
Ripon · Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Redcar | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ripon | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-08-18 | Catterick | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 05/07/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 04/08/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 18/08/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 15/09/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |