Liverpool Star
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 65
Ripon · Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hamilton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Ripon | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 57% | -0.37 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |