Taygar
5yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 59
Ripon · Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Ayr | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 59% | +0.54 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 29% | -0.61 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 08/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |