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3

Emtinan

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Ripon · Jozef White Last Day Of Freedom Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 10y

#5

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising debut fifth of 8 in maiden at York (2m, good) on debut last October. Pulled up lame at Newcastle the following month. Sold out of the Charlie Hills stable for 45,000 gns in April. Joined a good yard but the betting is the best guide to expectations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 11/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f192y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS11/102
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-06Newcastle5−2
2025-10-11York25th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength6%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20255th11/142%43%+0.01