9
Neswick
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 74
Ripon · Jozef White Last Day Of Freedom Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 10y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Ffos Las | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -39.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |