2
Talismans Time
4yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 79
Ripon · Thank You To Our Groundstaff Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 2m
#5
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Carlisle | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Musselburgh | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-23 | York | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2025-07-12 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 18/10/2024 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 79% | -0.10 |
| 16/05/2025 | 1st | 16/5 | 83% | 100% | +0.17 |
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 23/08/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |