3
Mcafee
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 97
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goodwood Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 14th | −6 |
| 2025-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2024 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 01/03/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 05/04/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 10/05/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 04/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |