6
Mr. A. P.
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 109
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goodwood Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲4
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: -4.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 9th | 14th | −4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2025-08-31 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.40 |