2
Vodka Vodka
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 108
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goodwood Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: -4.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Sunland Park | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Santa Anita | BHA109 | 1st | 14th | −11 |
| 2025-12-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Del Mar | BHA101 | 1st | 13th | −10 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 45% | -0.44 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |