Doing Time
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 90
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |