Dr. Filkins
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 92
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 14/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |