Going Nowhere
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 87
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 22/02/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 29/03/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |