Heroic Dose

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 91

Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.9

Today:

Class gap: +0.6

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-04	Del Mar	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-08-09	Del Mar	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-06-08	Santa Anita	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-05-10	Santa Anita	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
10/05/2026	7th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37
08/06/2026	7th	25/1	0%	40%	+0.40
09/08/2026	2nd	14/1	26%	90%	+0.64
04/09/2026	2nd	13/8	91%	88%	-0.04