Monsieur Big
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-01-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |