6
Quality Gold
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 71
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-02-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |