2
B Grayson
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 96
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
83%
Place Prob
62%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |