Gypsy Tears
7yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 99
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 15/02/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |