3

Mici's Express

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92

Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 20/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 93 · 6f110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 93 par20/04C6OR 93C8 @ Santa Anita 16/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 91 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark16/05/2025 · OR 91 parC8 @ Santa Anita 20/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 94 · 6f110y 124 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 94 par20/02C8OR 94C6 @ Santa Anita 21/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 91 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 91 parC6 @ Santa Anita 25/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 92 par25/04C6OR 92C7 @ Santa Anita 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 93 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Santa Anita 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 126 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 90 par13/06C8OR 90C8 @ Del Mar 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 92 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 92 parC8 @ Del Mar 06/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 95 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 95 par6/09C8OR 95projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-07-27Del Mar?3rd3rd0
2026-06-13Santa Anita?1st1st0
2026-05-29Santa Anita?7th6th+1
2026-04-25Santa Anita?5th3rd+2
2026-03-21Santa Anita?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0421/0313/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/20253rd11/486%67%-0.19
16/05/20254th6/492%50%-0.42
20/02/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27
21/03/20262nd7/163%75%+0.12
25/04/20265th10/382%43%-0.40
29/05/20267th40/10%0%0.00
13/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
27/07/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15
06/09/20265th8/158%50%-0.08