Naftis
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 100
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |