Piper's Causeway
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 104
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-08-14 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-07-24 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 18/05/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 07/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 24/07/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 14/08/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |