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3

Cabo Spirit

7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 117

Santa Anita · Race 3 - City Of Hope Mile Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength31%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Del Mar 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 119 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 119 par30/08C?OR 119C0 @ Santa Anita 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 118 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 118 parC2 @ Del Mar 29/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 119 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 119 par29/11C2OR 119C1 @ Santa Anita 28/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 116 · 1m1f Gd 125 · beat its mark28/12/2025 · OR 116 parC0 @ Gulfstream 24/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 118 · 1m1f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 118 par24/01C?OR 118C0 @ Santa Anita 08/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 118 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 118 parC6 @ Santa Anita 03/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 115 · 1m1f Fm 124 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 115 par3/04C6OR 115C0 @ Del Mar 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 117 · 1m1f Fm 121 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 117 parC0 @ Del Mar 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 118 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 118 par23/08C?OR 118projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Del Mar?4th4th0
2026-07-27Del Mar?2nd2nd0
2026-04-03Santa Anita?3rd9th−5
2026-03-08Santa Anita?6th6th0
2026-01-24Gulfstream?9th9th+0
2025-12-28Santa Anita?1st1st−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0828/123/0423/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength81%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20253rd6/168%60%-0.08
27/09/20252nd12/137%80%+0.43
29/11/20258th6/168%0%-0.68
28/12/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
24/01/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
08/03/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
03/04/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19
27/07/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
23/08/20264th7/163%70%+0.07