4
Detain
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 116
Santa Anita · Race 3 - City Of Hope Mile Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2025-09-26 | Newmarket | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Haydock | 1 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 10th | 10th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/05/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.15 |
| 19/06/2025 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 18% | -0.66 |
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |