2
El Potente
7yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 118
Santa Anita · Race 3 - City Of Hope Mile Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-02-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2024 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 17/11/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 05/01/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/02/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |