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6

King Of Gosford

5yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 111

Santa Anita · Race 3 - City Of Hope Mile Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

8/5

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

74%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Del Mar 01/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 114 · 1m1f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/12/2024 · OR 114 par1/12C?OR 114C0 @ Santa Anita 26/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 114 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark26/12/2024 · OR 114 parC1 @ Santa Anita 20/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 114 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark20/04/2025 · OR 114 par20/04C1OR 114C0 @ Santa Anita 27/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 115 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2025 · OR 115 parC0 @ Del Mar 30/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 115 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 115 par30/08C?OR 115C1 @ Santa Anita 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 111 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 111 parC0 @ Santa Anita 25/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 109 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 109 par25/05C?OR 109C5 @ Del Mar 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 125 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 108 parC0 @ Del Mar 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 111 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 111 par23/08C?OR 111projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Del Mar?1st1st0
2026-07-20Del Mar?1st6th−4
2026-05-25Santa Anita?3rd3rd+0
2026-04-18Santa Anita?4th4th−0
2025-08-30Del Mar?6th6th0
2025-05-27Santa Anita?1st1st+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1227/0525/0523/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength97%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20242nd9/276%90%+0.14
26/12/20241st8/1397%100%+0.03
20/04/20252nd10/1195%83%-0.12
27/05/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
30/08/20256th9/488%0%-0.88
18/04/20264th11/486%50%-0.36
25/05/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
20/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
23/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24