2
Later Than Planned
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 114
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Eddie D Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-01-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/09/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 31/10/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 18/07/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |