9
Virat
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 115
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Eddie D Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-05-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-04-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-02-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-11-30 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 31/08/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |