7
Atitlan
5yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 119
Santa Anita · Race 7 - John Henry Turf Championship Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 2f
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2025-08-31 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength95%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 26/12/2024 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 08/02/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 22/03/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 03/05/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 27/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 31/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |