6

Flashiest

8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 118

Santa Anita · Race 7 - John Henry Turf Championship Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 2f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 104 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 104 par4/10C6OR 104C6 @ Del Mar 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 106 · 1m3f Fm 121 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 106 parC0 @ Del Mar 28/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 106 · 1m4f Fm 122 · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 106 par28/11C?OR 106C1 @ Santa Anita 28/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 109 · 1m1f Gd 123 · beat its mark28/12/2025 · OR 109 parC1 @ Santa Anita 14/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 113 · 1m2f Fm 122 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 113 par14/02C1OR 113C1 @ Santa Anita 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 116 · 1m4f 122 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 116 parC0 @ Santa Anita 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 120 · 1m2f 120 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 120 par2/05C?OR 120C0 @ Saratoga 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 121 · 2m Fm 120 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 121 parC0 @ Del Mar 30/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 119 · 1m3f Fm 121 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 119 par30/08C?OR 119projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Del Mar?8th8th0
2026-06-04Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-05-02Santa Anita?2nd2nd0
2026-03-22Santa Anita?2nd2nd−0
2026-02-14Santa Anita?2nd2nd−0
2025-12-28Santa Anita?6th6th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1028/122/0530/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20254th20/10%67%+0.67
02/11/20252nd8/158%80%+0.22
28/11/20252nd33/10%88%+0.88
28/12/20256th25/10%50%+0.50
14/02/20262nd20/10%86%+0.86
22/03/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
02/05/20262nd6/168%75%+0.07
04/06/20264th6/168%57%-0.11
30/08/20268th33/10%30%+0.30