1
Mondego
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 119
Santa Anita · Race 7 - John Henry Turf Championship Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 2f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength92%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 28/11/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |