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8

Twirling Point

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 113

Santa Anita · Race 7 - John Henry Turf Championship Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 2f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength18%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 108 · 1m4f 122 · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 108 par6/09C5OR 108C6 @ Del Mar 02/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 112 · 1m3f Fm 121 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 112 parC1 @ Santa Anita 28/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 107 · 1m1f Gd 123 · beat its mark28/12/2025 · OR 107 par28/12C1OR 107C1 @ Santa Anita 14/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 110 · 1m2f Fm 122 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 110 parC6 @ Santa Anita 06/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 110 · 1m1f Fm 124 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 110 par6/03C6OR 110C1 @ Santa Anita 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 114 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 114 parC0 @ Santa Anita 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 111 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 111 par25/05C?OR 111C5 @ Del Mar 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 106 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 106 parC0 @ Del Mar 23/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 110 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 110 par23/08C?OR 110projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Del Mar?8th8th0
2026-07-20Del Mar?2nd7th−4
2026-05-25Santa Anita?7th7th+0
2026-04-18Santa Anita?6th6th−0
2026-03-06Santa Anita?1st7th−5
2026-02-14Santa Anita?6th6th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0914/0225/0523/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +15.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20255th6/594%20%-0.74
02/11/20255th5/287%20%-0.67
28/12/20257th14/126%40%+0.14
14/02/20266th9/153%29%-0.24
06/03/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
18/04/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
25/05/20267th66/10%14%+0.14
20/07/20262nd20/10%86%+0.86
23/08/20268th25/10%30%+0.30