6

Crypto Quest

7yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 55

Southwell · Gent's Night Sat 24th October Handicap · 4f 214y

#6

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed twice at C&D on his last 2 outings in 2024 but little encouragement in 2 recent starts since returning from a near 2-year absence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 12/04/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 63 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark12/04/2024 · OR 63 par12/046OR 635 @ Catterick 30/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 70 · 5f212y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/04/2024 · OR 70 par4 @ Carlisle 20/05/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 5f182y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2024 · OR 71 par20/054OR 715 @ Doncaster 28/06/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 71 · 6f2y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2024 · OR 71 par6 @ Wolverhampton 16/08/2024 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 62 · 6f20y Std 132 · below its mark16/08/2024 · OR 62 par16/086OR 626 @ Southwell 30/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 60 · 4f214y Std 135 · beat its mark30/08/2024 · OR 60 par6 @ Southwell 26/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 60 · 4f214y Std 133 · beat its mark26/09/2024 · OR 60 par26/096OR 605 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 56 · 6f16y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 56 par5 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 5f60y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 65 par1/095OR 65projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Brighton56th5th+1
2026-08-27Southwell511th10th+1
2024-09-26Southwell63rd3rd0
2024-08-30Southwell62nd2nd0
2024-08-16Wolverhampton610th10th0
2024-06-28Doncaster54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0428/0626/091/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength16%

Delivery trend +5.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/20245th5/174%33%-0.40
30/04/20242nd7/282%80%-0.02
20/05/20245th4/179%43%-0.36
28/06/20244th7/282%63%-0.19
16/08/202410th17/255%25%-0.30
30/08/20242nd13/266%90%+0.24
26/09/20243rd6/168%83%+0.15
27/08/202611th250/10%0%0.00
01/09/20266th25/10%0%0.00