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8

Hellcat

3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 52

Southwell · Gent's Night Sat 24th October Handicap · 4f 214y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't kicked on from promising second start for current yard on all-weather in May, failing to beat a rival in a 9-runner event at Windsor last month. Lots to prove at present.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Thirsk 22/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0455 @ Thirsk 03/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ York 26/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/0736 @ Thirsk 15/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 64 · 6f Sft 134 · below its mark15/09/2025 · OR 64 par6 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR 60 · 5f8y Goo 135 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 60 par18/046OR 606 @ Wolverhampton 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 58 · 6f20y Std 128 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 58 · 6f2y Goo 128 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 58 par14/066OR 586 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 55 · 6f20y Std 129 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Windsor 24/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 54 · 6f12y Goo 125 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 54 par24/086OR 54projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Windsor69th9th0
2026-07-07Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-06-14Doncaster612th12th0
2026-05-08Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-04-18Nottingham69th9th0
2025-09-15Thirsk610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0415/0914/0624/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20253rd50/10%33%+0.33
03/05/20253rd33/10%71%+0.71
26/07/20258th22/10%0%0.00
15/09/202510th40/10%10%+0.10
18/04/20269th25/10%50%+0.50
08/05/20263rd33/10%60%+0.60
14/06/202612th18/15%15%+0.10
07/07/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
24/08/20269th66/10%0%0.00