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2

Let's Go Hugo

6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 62

Southwell · Gent's Night Sat 24th October Handicap · 4f 214y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Revitalised since being refitted with cheekpieces, making it 3 wins from his last 4 starts in an 8-runner handicap at Lingfield (5f, all-weather) 16 days ago. Still feasibly treated after 3 lb rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Catterick 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 131 · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 56 par22/046OR 566 @ Redcar 07/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 55 · 5f217y Goo 135 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Redcar 26/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 53 · 5f217y Goo 149 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 53 par26/056OR 536 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 51 · 5f Sta 131 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Redcar 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 50 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 50 par8/086OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 50 · 5f21y Std 135 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 25/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 50 · 5f6y Std 140 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 50 par25/086OR 506 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 5f Std 140 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 59 · 5f6y Std 135 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 59 par10/096OR 59projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield61st1st0
2026-09-02Newcastle62nd2nd0
2026-08-25Lingfield61st1st0
2026-08-17Wolverhampton61st1st0
2026-08-08Redcar64th4th0
2026-07-25Newcastle63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0425/0725/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20267th9/153%14%-0.38
07/05/202610th16/116%18%+0.02
26/05/20268th20/10%36%+0.36
25/07/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
08/08/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
17/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
25/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
02/09/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03
10/09/20261st5/174%100%+0.26