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9

Mimime

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 45

Southwell · Gent's Night Sat 24th October Handicap · 4f 214y

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

76%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced filly is improving steadily and produced her best effort to date when bumping into a well-treated rival for the second start in a row over C&D 9 days ago. Leading player despite being 1 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS25/0554 @ Southwell 18/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f16y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0644 @ Nottingham 21/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f18y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS21/0746 @ Catterick 04/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 48 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 48 par4/086OR 486 @ Lingfield 17/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 46 · 5f6y Std 127 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 46 par17/086OR 466 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 45 · 4f215y Std 120 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 45 par3/096OR 456 @ Southwell 17/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 45 · 4f214y Std 125 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 45 par17/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Southwell62nd2nd0
2026-09-03Southwell62nd2nd0
2026-08-17Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-08-04Catterick67th7th0
2026-07-21Nottingham48th6th+2
2026-06-18Southwell410th8th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/054/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20267th18/15%33%+0.28
18/06/202610th125/10%10%+0.10
21/07/20268th50/10%0%0.00
04/08/20267th40/10%0%0.00
17/08/20263rd22/10%60%+0.60
03/09/20262nd40/10%80%+0.80
17/09/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12