Ghazalia

2yo Filly · 8-10

Southwell · Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 4f 215y

#7

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▬

Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-15	Wolverhampton	5	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-08-26	Catterick	4	4th	3rd	+1	7.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength22%

Delivery trend +8.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
26/08/2026	4th	9/1	53%	57%	+0.05
15/09/2026	5th	11/1	42%	56%	+0.13