Inglewood

2yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 68

Southwell · Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 4f 215y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-20	Lingfield	5	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-08-07	Thirsk	4	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-07-08	Catterick	5	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-05-16	Thirsk	4	5th	4th	+1	6.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength50%

Delivery trend -13.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/05/2026	5th	12/1	37%	64%	+0.27
08/07/2026	2nd	7/1	63%	80%	+0.17
07/08/2026	3rd	85/40	89%	80%	-0.09
20/08/2026	2nd	4/6	96%	86%	-0.11