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9

Picnic Princess

2yo Filly · 8-10

Southwell · Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 4f 215y

#6

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ardad filly who looked to be learning as the race wore on when fifth on heavy ground at Beverley in August but she couldn't build on that when eighth of 10 in a Wolverhampton novice (6f) 11 days ago. Likely type for nurseries after this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 5f Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0845 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12215/095projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Wolverhampton58th8th0
2026-08-30Beverley45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -28.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20265th16/116%67%+0.51
15/09/20268th20/10%22%+0.22