Shaniko
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 72
Southwell · Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 4f 215y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Thirsk | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Redcar | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |