Layla Liz
4yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 87
Southwell · Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (Div 1) · 4f 215y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 1 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-02-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-26 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 18/11/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 26/12/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/02/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 30/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 26/04/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 20/06/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |