Tees Spirit
8yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 83
Southwell · Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (Div 1) · 4f 215y
#10
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 7.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | Haydock | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-08-20 | York | 2 | 19th | 17th | +2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Redcar | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-06-07 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2025-05-15 | York | 2 | 17th | 15th | +2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Ripon | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/10/2024 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/02/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 26/04/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 15/05/2025 | 17th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 07/06/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 39% | +0.39 |
| 09/08/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 13% | -0.43 |
| 20/08/2025 | 19th | 66/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |
| 27/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |