
Wateen
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 81
Southwell · Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (Div 1) · 4f 215y
#9
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Redcar | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Nottingham | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-07-05 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-06-11 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 17/05/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 11/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 31/08/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |