Canon's House
5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 80
Southwell · Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (Div 2) · 4f 215y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Goodwood | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 62% | +0.01 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 22/05/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 13/09/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |