IvyArcIvyArc
6

Hypnotised

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 83

Southwell · Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (Div 2) · 4f 215y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

89%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage sprinter who's improved since being gelded. Still a work in progress when a neck second at Newbury (5f, good to firm) last month and caught the eye with his finishing effort when third of 16 in handicap (6/1) at Doncaster (5f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Leading player.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 30/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f217y Goo 13330/0744 @ Kempton 03/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f Sta 1303/0945 @ Southwell 21/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Sta 13321/0952 @ Sandown 24/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 82 · 5f10y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 82 par24/042OR 824 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 81 · 5f10y Goo 132 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 81 par29/074OR 813 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 80 · 5f34y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 80 par15/083OR 803 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 83 · 5f3y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 83 par13/093OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster33rd2nd+1
2026-08-15Newbury32nd1st+1
2026-07-29Sandown42nd2nd0
2026-04-24Sandown27th5th+2
2025-09-21Southwell51st2nd−1
2025-09-03Kempton44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0724/0413/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20254th4/179%40%-0.39
03/09/20254th10/382%70%-0.12
21/09/20251st4/696%100%+0.04
24/04/20267th13/266%25%-0.41
29/07/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
15/08/20262nd15/261%91%+0.30
13/09/20263rd6/168%87%+0.18