Kylian
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 85
Southwell · Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (Div 2) · 4f 215y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Goodwood | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 06/06/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 46% | -0.22 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 25/07/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 8% | -0.39 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |