Michaela's Boy
6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 84
Southwell · Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (Div 2) · 4f 215y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Nottingham | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Yarmouth | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |