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4

Right And Exact

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 84

Southwell · Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (Div 2) · 4f 215y

#9

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved when landing 5f Thirsk handicap in May before following up in 7-runner handicap at Musselburgh (5f) a month later. Ran respectably with the application of blinkers when sixth of 11 in handicap at Chester (5f) 63 days ago and he remains of interest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Catterick 10/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f Goo 13010/0655 @ Ripon 04/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f Gd 1374/0855 @ Southwell 02/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 4f215y Std 137 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 79 par2/095OR 794 @ Musselburgh 12/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 79 · 5f1y Goo 135 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 79 par12/044OR 794 @ Thirsk 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 78 · 5f Goo 133 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 78 par16/054OR 784 @ Musselburgh 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 5f1y Gd 137 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 82 par5/064OR 824 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 84 · 5f15y Goo 140 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 84 par25/074OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Chester46th6th0
2026-06-05Musselburgh41st1st0
2026-05-16Thirsk41st1st0
2026-04-12Musselburgh48th8th0
2025-09-02Southwell52nd3rd−1
2025-08-04Ripon52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0612/0425/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength27%

Delivery trend -13.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20251st33/10%100%+1.00
04/08/20252nd8/158%75%+0.17
02/09/20252nd11/486%89%+0.03
12/04/20268th33/10%56%+0.56
16/05/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
05/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
25/07/20266th3/184%50%-0.34