8

League Of Justice

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 72

Southwell · Tipsy Tapas At Winter Ladies Evening Handicap · 1m 4f 15y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

Standout effort when third of 9 in a novice over 7f at Newcastle 21 days ago. Well beaten on handicap debut at Redcar last time and a lot more needed upped further in trip here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS23/0744 @ Hamilton 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m68y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS11/0844 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS5/0944 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m2f1y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 75 par15/094OR 75projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar47th6th+1
2026-09-05Newcastle43rd2nd+1
2026-08-11Hamilton44th3rd+1
2026-07-23Southwell46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0711/085/0915/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength41%

Delivery trend +9.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20266th13/266%58%-0.07
11/08/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
05/09/20263rd66/10%75%+0.75
15/09/20267th33/10%0%0.00