Molo Del Palazzo
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 73
Southwell · Tipsy Tapas At Winter Ladies Evening Handicap · 1m 4f 15y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Sandown | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Leicester | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |